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Live prediction market odds for Peru Presidential Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi

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Keiko Fujimori Wins: Peru Presidential Election Winner

Resolved 2026-04-12

This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Keiko Fujimori was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the Peru Presidential Election held on April 12, 2026.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the Peru Presidential Election held on April 12, 2026. This election will determine the country's leadership amid ongoing economic challenges and social unrest, making it a pivotal moment for Peru's future direction.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

1 platform
Candidate
Kalshi
Keiko FujimoriWINNER
100%
Roberto Sánchez
0%

Candidate Spotlight

About Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori is the leader of Peru's Popular Force party and a candidate in the 2026 presidential election. She previously served as First Lady from 1994 to 2000 and was a congresswoman from 2006 to 2011. Her candidacy is significant due to her family's political legacy and her previous presidential bids.

About Roberto Sánchez

Roberto Sánchez Palomino es congresista de la República por Juntos por el Perú. Anteriormente, fue ministro de Comercio Exterior y Turismo en el gobierno de Pedro Castillo. Es candidato presidencial en las elecciones de 2026, postulando con el mismo partido político.

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates2
Winner

Keiko Fujimori

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Peru Presidential Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the winner of the next Peruvian presidential election scheduled to be held in 2026 (at the latest) is Keiko Fujimori, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

For presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Elections Jury of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones) (portal.jne.gob.pe/portal).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Elections Jury of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones) (portal.jne.gob.pe/portal). Created At: 2026-03-02T13:19:39.471536122Z

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the 2026 Peru Presidential Election?

The election is crucial for shaping Peru's political landscape and addressing pressing economic issues. Voter sentiment will be influenced by candidates' positions on key policies and social reforms.

How do prediction markets work for this election?

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the likelihood of various candidates winning. Prices fluctuate based on public opinion, news events, and campaign developments.

What factors could impact the election outcome?

Factors include economic performance, public opinion on candidates, and any potential social unrest leading up to the election. Additionally, voter turnout will play a critical role in determining the winner.

What does the Peru Presidential Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Peru Presidential Election Winner odds?

The last available prices are Keiko Fujimori: 99.8¢ on Kalshi; Roberto Sánchez: 0.3¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Sánchez Palomino Spikes to 16% in Peru Election Market With No CatalystKalshi and Polymarket show 16% for Sánchez Palomino while Preddy holds at 5%; no polling shift, endorsement, or media coverage explains the 3x gap.Mar 27, 2026