Live prediction market odds for Republican nominee for Governor in Florida in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Byron Donalds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida in 2026.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida in 2026. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the state's political landscape and set the stage for future elections in a key battleground state.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Byron DonaldsWINNER | 100% |
Casey DeSantis | 0% |
Charles Burkett | 0% |
James Fishback | 0% |
Jay Collins | 0% |
Jimmy Patronis | 0% |
Matt Gaetz | 0% |
Paul Renner | 0% |
Wilton Simpson | 0% |
Byron Donalds
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Byron Donalds wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and public sentiment play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, the political climate leading up to the election can significantly impact candidate viability.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom and sentiment regarding each candidate's chances.
The primary election for the Republican nominee is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This date is critical as it will determine the party's candidate for the gubernatorial race.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Byron Donalds: 99.9¢ on Kalshi; Casey DeSantis: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Charles Burkett: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; James Fishback: 0.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
