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Live prediction market odds for SC-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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SC-02 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Joe Wilson (R)92¢1.09xPolymarket USZyon Khalifa (D)9¢11.11xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Joe Wilson (R) about a 91.3% chance. Zyon Khalifa (D) follows at 8.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Traders give Joe Wilson (R) about a 91.3% chance. Zyon Khalifa (D) follows at 8.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the SC-02 House election. This race will be resolved based on the official election results on November 4, 2026, with odds fluctuating due to candidate announcements and campaign activities leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JW
Joe Wilson (R)
91%
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket92¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
91.5%90¢93¢7¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
ZK
Zyon Khalifa (D)
8%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US9¢
Polymarket9¢
Kalshi11.24x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.9%6¢9¢91¢95¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
8.0%8¢9¢91¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%6¢9¢91¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Joe Wilson (R)

Joe Wilson is the U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 2nd congressional district, serving since 2001. He previously served in the South Carolina State Senate from 1985 to 2001. Wilson has been re-elected multiple times, demonstrating strong support in his district.

About Zyon Khalifa (D)

Zyon Khalifa is a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District for the 2026 general election. He has previously run in the district's primary elections in 2026. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he is actively seeking election to represent the district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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Stats
Spread1.4%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Joe Wilson (R)

91.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: SC-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the SC-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the SC-02 House election?

The SC-02 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is when the official results will determine the winner.

How do odds change for the SC-02 House winner market?

Odds for the SC-02 House winner market fluctuate based on candidate announcements, campaign events, and polling data. These factors can significantly impact market perceptions leading up to the election.

What platforms are tracking the SC-02 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the SC-02 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments in the race.

What does the SC-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest SC-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Joe Wilson (R): 91.5¢ on Kalshi, 91.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US; Zyon Khalifa (D): 8.9¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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