Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: 1st place (1st round). Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-11
This market resolved on 2026-08-11. Darline Graham was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary for the 1st place outcome in the first round.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary for the 1st place outcome in the first round. This primary is crucial as it will determine the Republican candidate for the Senate seat, influencing party dynamics and future legislative agendas.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Darline GrahamWINNER | 99% |
Mark Sanford | 1% |
Ralph Norman | 1% |
Russell Fry | 1% |
Darline Graham
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Darline Graham finishes in 1st place in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
This primary will select the Republican candidate for the Senate seat, which is vital for party control in future elections. The outcome can influence legislative priorities and party strategies.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time data from participants betting on various outcomes, reflecting their expectations for candidates' performances. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or campaign momentum.
Polling data, candidate debates, endorsements, and campaign financing can all impact the odds in this primary. Additionally, voter turnout and local issues may also play a significant role in shaping the outcome.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Darline Graham: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Mark Sanford: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Ralph Norman: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Russell Fry: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
