What factors influence the odds for the South Carolina Senate race?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter preferences.

When is the South Carolina Senate election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing places it during a midterm election cycle, which often sees varying voter turnout.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective belief of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What does the South Carolina Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest South Carolina Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Darline Graham (R): 87.0¢ on Kalshi, 85.0¢ on Polymarket, 87.0¢ on Polymarket US; Annie Andrews (D): 12.5¢ on Kalshi, 14.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do South Carolina Senate winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do South Carolina Senate winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Darline Graham (R) at 86.3¢ implies about a 86.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.