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Live prediction market odds for Tennessee Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Tennessee Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Marsha Blackburn (R)91¢1.10xPolymarket USJerri Green (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Marsha Blackburn (R) about a 93.0% chance. Jerri Green (D) follows at 6.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.1 percentage points.

Traders give Marsha Blackburn (R) about a 93.0% chance. Jerri Green (D) follows at 6.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.1 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Tennessee Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in shaping state policies and party dynamics in Tennessee, influencing both local governance and national political trends.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MB
Marsha Blackburn (R)ARB
93%
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket US91¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.10x91¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.9%93¢93¢7¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.0%90¢91¢9¢10¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.1%94¢96¢4¢6¢
JG
Jerri Green (D)
6%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%7¢8¢92¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.1%4¢6¢94¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Marsha Blackburn (R)

Marsha Blackburn is the senior U.S. Senator from Tennessee, serving since 2019. She previously represented Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2003 to 2019. Blackburn is a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee and has been a prominent voice on technology and social media regulation.

About Jerri Green (D)

Jerri Green is a Memphis City Council member representing District 2 since January 2024. She won the Democratic primary for Tennessee governor on August 6, 2026, with 69% of the vote. Green's campaign focuses on issues affecting working families, including education, wages, and public safety.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.1%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Marsha Blackburn (R)

93.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Tennessee Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Tennessee pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Tennessee. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the key issues at stake in the Tennessee Governor Election?

Key issues include education reform, healthcare access, and economic development. Candidates will address local concerns that resonate with voters across the state.

How do prediction markets reflect voter sentiment for this election?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time data from various sources, reflecting shifts in voter sentiment based on polling, candidate appearances, and campaign strategies. Changes in odds can indicate emerging trends or voter concerns.

What factors could influence the outcome of the Tennessee Governor Election?

Factors include voter turnout, campaign financing, and endorsements from influential local figures. Additionally, national political trends and issues may sway voter preferences leading up to the election.

What does the Tennessee Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Tennessee Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Marsha Blackburn (R): 92.9¢ on Kalshi, 95.1¢ on Polymarket, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jerri Green (D): 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.1¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 93%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-06

WONMarsha Blackburn (R)
Pre-event: 93%