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Live prediction market odds for TN-08 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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TN-08 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

David Kustoff (R)95¢1.05xPolymarket USHeidi Kuhn (D)5¢20.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give David Kustoff (R) about a 94.6% chance. Heidi Kuhn (D) follows at 4.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.

Traders give David Kustoff (R) about a 94.6% chance. Heidi Kuhn (D) follows at 4.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TN-08 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results from November 4, 2026, when voters will decide between candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DK
David Kustoff (R)
95%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.9%92¢96¢4¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.3%95¢96¢4¢5¢
HK
Heidi Kuhn (D)
5%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.2%4¢8¢92¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.9%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About David Kustoff (R)

David Kustoff is the current U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 8th Congressional District, serving his fifth term in the House of Representatives. Prior to his congressional service, he was appointed as the U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Tennessee by President George W. Bush, where he led significant corruption and crime reduction efforts. His extensive experience in federal law enforcement and legislative affairs underscores his qualifications for this role.

About Heidi Kuhn (D)

Heidi Kuhn is the Democratic nominee for Tennessee's 8th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. She served as Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk from 2018 to 2026, overseeing court operations and records. Kuhn's extensive experience in county government and her leadership in the criminal justice system position her as a significant contender in this race.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.3%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

David Kustoff (R)

94.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TN-08 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TN-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the TN-08 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 4, 2026, coinciding with the general election date.

What determines the outcome of the TN-08 House winner market?

The outcome is determined by the official election results for the TN-08 House seat.

Which platforms are tracking the TN-08 House winner market?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the TN-08 House winner market.

What does the TN-08 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TN-08 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are David Kustoff (R): 93.9¢ on Kalshi, 95.3¢ on Polymarket, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; Heidi Kuhn (D): 6.2¢ on Kalshi, 3.9¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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