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Live prediction market odds for TN-09 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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TN-09 Democratic nominee?

2026-08-06

About This Market

TN-09 Democratic nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

TN-09 Democratic nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nomination for Tennessee's 9th congressional district in 2026. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress and reflect shifting political dynamics in the region.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
DH
DeVante Hill
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JP
Justin Pearson
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.9%0¢100¢0¢100¢
ML
M. LaTroy A-Williams
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
SC
Steve Cohen
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.2%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Justin Pearson

Justin J. Pearson is a Democratic state representative for Tennessee's 86th district. He gained national attention in 2023 as one of the 'Tennessee Three' expelled and later reinstated following a gun control protest. Pearson is challenging incumbent U.S. Representative Steve Cohen in the 2026 Democratic primary for Tennessee's 9th Congressional District.

About Steve Cohen

Steve Cohen is the U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 9th congressional district, serving since 2007. He previously represented the 30th district in the Tennessee State Senate from 1983 to 2006. His extensive political experience and current role make him a key figure in Tennessee's Democratic Party.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Leader

DeVante Hill

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Justin Pearson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, local political trends and voter sentiment can impact market perceptions.

How does the TN-09 race fit into the broader electoral landscape?

The TN-09 race is part of the 2026 midterm elections, which are critical for both parties to secure or regain control of Congress. Changes in voter demographics and turnout rates in this district could signal larger trends.

When will the Democratic nominee for TN-09 be determined?

The nomination will be decided during the primary elections scheduled for August 2026. Candidates will campaign vigorously in the lead-up to the primaries to secure their position.

What does the TN-09 Democratic nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TN-09 Democratic nominee odds?

The latest available prices are DeVante Hill: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Justin Pearson: 99.9¢ on Kalshi; M. LaTroy A-Williams: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Steve Cohen: 0.2¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

TN-09 Democratic Nomination Odds: Pearson Slides 10 Points With No NewsPearson fell from 62% to 52% in 72 hours. Kalshi still prices him at 84%, a 32-point gap that signals thin liquidity, not consensus.Jun 5, 2026