Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for TX-27 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

TX-27 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Republican94¢1.06xPolymarketTanya Lloyd (D)6¢16.67xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Republican about a 93.5% chance. Tanya Lloyd (D) follows at 6.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Traders give Republican about a 93.5% chance. Tanya Lloyd (D) follows at 6.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-27 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the conclusion of the voting process in Texas's 27th congressional district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
R
Republican
93%
Kalshi94¢
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.9%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%94¢94¢6¢6¢
TL
Tanya Lloyd (D)
6%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket16.39x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.1%6¢9¢92¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%6¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Tanya Lloyd (D)

Tanya Lloyd is a first-grade public school teacher and the Democratic nominee for Texas's 27th Congressional District. She previously ran for the same seat in 2024, securing 35% of the vote against incumbent Republican Michael Cloud. Her extensive experience in education and commitment to rural healthcare and public education funding underscore her qualifications for this role.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.6%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Republican

93.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TX-27 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for TX-27 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-27 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the TX-27 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the TX-27 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the TX-27 House winner market.

What determines the outcome of the TX-27 House winner market?

The outcome is determined by the official election results from Texas's 27th congressional district after the election on November 3, 2026.

What does the TX-27 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TX-27 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Republican: 92.9¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket; Tanya Lloyd (D): 7.1¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee

View

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

View

WV-01 House Election Winner

View

TN-07 House Election Winner

View

Vivian Wolff vs. Carol Zhao

Resolved Sep 28

Final odds