Live prediction market odds for TX-31 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-31 House Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-31 House Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties as they strategize their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
John Carter (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Justin Early (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-31 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-31 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who wager on outcomes, providing insights into perceived candidate viability. Fluctuations in odds can indicate shifts in public perception or campaign developments.
Party affiliation can significantly impact voter turnout and candidate support in the TX-31 district. Understanding the demographic makeup and historical voting patterns is crucial for predicting outcomes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
