Live prediction market odds for TX-34 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-34 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-34 House race. This election will play a crucial role in shaping the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties as they strategize for the upcoming election cycle.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Vicente Gonzalez (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Eric Flores (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-34 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-34 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, national political climate and local issues can sway public opinion.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which typically sees higher voter engagement.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
