Live prediction market odds for UT-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the UT-01 House election set for November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the UT-01 House election set for November 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ben McAdams (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Riley Owen (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the UT-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local and national political trends can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of each candidate winning.
The UT-01 House election is significant as it could impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Outcomes in this race may also serve as a barometer for national political trends ahead of the 2026 elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
