Live prediction market odds for VA-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-04 House race held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-04 House race held on November 3, 2026. This election will play a crucial role in determining party control in the House of Representatives, influencing legislative priorities and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jennifer McClellan (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Robert Murray (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for VA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the VA-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and voter turnout. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
The VA-04 race is part of the 2026 midterm elections, which are critical for both major parties. Control of the House could hinge on tight races like this one, affecting future legislation.
Results for the VA-04 House race will be available on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certified results may take several days to be confirmed due to mail-in ballots and close counts.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
