Live prediction market odds for VA-09 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Morgan Griffith (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-09 House election, held on November 4, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-09 House election, held on November 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results, which will be determined by voter turnout and the final count of ballots cast in the district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Morgan Griffith (R)WINNER | Yes |
Joy Powers (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for VA-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the VA-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The VA-09 House election is set for November 4, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the official winner of the race.
Odds in the VA-09 House race are influenced by polling data, campaign events, and voter sentiment leading up to the election. Changes in these factors can lead to fluctuations in market prices.
The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the ballots are counted. This ensures that the outcome reflects the actual winner as determined by the election process.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
