Live prediction market odds for VA-11 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-11 House race held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the VA-11 House race held on November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence party control in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
James Walkinshaw (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Arthur Purves (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for VA-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the VA-11 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly impact market perceptions.
The outcome of this race could affect the balance of power in the House of Representatives. Additionally, it serves as a bellwether for voter attitudes leading into the 2026 midterm elections.
Odds are updated in real-time as new information, such as polling results and candidate announcements, becomes available. Market fluctuations reflect the latest developments in the race.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
