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Live prediction market odds for Vermont Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Vermont Governor winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Phil Scott (R)85¢1.18xKalshiAmanda Janoo (D)15¢6.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Phil Scott (R) about a 83.8% chance. Amanda Janoo (D) follows at 16.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give Phil Scott (R) about a 83.8% chance. Amanda Janoo (D) follows at 16.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the Vermont Governor election set for November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and influence local policies, making it a key focus for both parties as they strategize for the upcoming race.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
PS
Phil Scott (R)
84%
Kalshi85¢
PredictIt85¢
Kalshi1.18x85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
84.5%84¢85¢15¢16¢
PredictItPredictIt
83.0%82¢85¢15¢18¢
AJ
Amanda Janoo (D)ARB
16%
Kalshi15¢
PredictIt22¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.5%14¢15¢85¢86¢
PredictItPredictIt
18.0%18¢22¢78¢82¢
KalshiKalshiPredictItPredictIt

Candidate Spotlight

About Phil Scott (R)

Phil Scott is the current Governor of Vermont, serving his fifth term since January 2025. He previously served as Vermont's Lieutenant Governor from 2011 to 2017. As a Republican in a predominantly Democratic state, Scott has maintained high approval ratings and has been re-elected multiple times, demonstrating his bipartisan appeal and effective governance.

About Amanda Janoo (D)

Amanda Janoo is the Democratic nominee for Vermont governor. She is an economist and co-founder of the Wellbeing Economy Alliance of Vermont. Her international experience with the United Nations informs her progressive economic development approach.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Phil Scott (R)

83.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Vermont Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Vermont Governor election?

The Vermont Governor election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the state's political direction.

What factors influence the odds for the Vermont Governor race?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, polling data, and party dynamics leading up to the election. Local issues and national trends may also affect voter sentiment.

How do prediction markets help in understanding the Vermont Governor race?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time insights into voter expectations and candidate viability. They reflect the collective judgment of participants based on available information.

What does the Vermont Governor winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Vermont Governor winner odds?

The latest available prices are Phil Scott (R): 84.5¢ on Kalshi, 83.0¢ on PredictIt; Amanda Janoo (D): 14.5¢ on Kalshi, 18.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Phil Scott's Vermont Governor Odds Fall to 82% After Democrats UniteScott drops 9 points in three days after Amanda Janoo's primary win and a party unity rally. A July poll already showed his approval at 51%, down from 61%.Sep 24, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Vermont Republican Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 97%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Vermont Republican Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-11

WONPhil Scott (R)
Pre-event: 97%