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Live prediction market odds for VT-AL House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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VT-AL House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Becca Balint (D)99¢1.01xKalshiGerald Malloy (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Becca Balint (D) about a 97.0% chance. Gerald Malloy (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.7 percentage points.

Traders give Becca Balint (D) about a 97.0% chance. Gerald Malloy (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.7 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Vermont- Alabama House race. The market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the counting of ballots in both states.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
BB
Becca Balint (D)
97%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US99¢
Polymarket99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.8%95¢99¢1¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.5%98¢99¢1¢2¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.8%97¢99¢1¢3¢
GM
Gerald Malloy (R)
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket2¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.2%1¢4¢96¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.4%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Becca Balint (D)

Becca Balint is the current U.S. Representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district, serving her second term after re-election in 2024. She previously served as the president of the Vermont State Senate and was the first woman and openly gay person elected to Congress from Vermont. Balint is a member of the House Judiciary and Budget Committees and serves as a vice chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.

About Gerald Malloy (R)

Gerald Malloy is a retired U.S. Army officer and defense contractor from Weathersfield, Vermont. He has previously run for U.S. Senate in 2022 and 2024, and won the Republican primary for Vermont's U.S. House seat in 2026. Malloy's military background and business experience contribute to his qualifications for this congressional race.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.7%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Becca Balint (D)

97.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: VT-AL House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for VT-AL for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclefec.govConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the VT-AL congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the outcome of the VT-AL House race market?

The outcome is determined by the official election results from the Vermont and Alabama House races. Ballots will be counted and results announced on November 3, 2026.

When will the VT-AL House race market resolve?

The market will resolve on November 3, 2026, once the official election results are announced. This date marks the conclusion of the voting process.

Which platforms are tracking the VT-AL House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking the winner of the VT-AL House race. They provide real-time odds based on the evolving political landscape.

What does the VT-AL House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest VT-AL House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Becca Balint (D): 94.8¢ on Kalshi, 97.8¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Gerald Malloy (R): 3.2¢ on Kalshi, 1.4¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

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