Live prediction market odds for WA-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the WA-02 House race, set for November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the WA-02 House race, set for November 2026. This election will determine representation in Congress, with potential implications for party control and legislative priorities at the national level.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Rick Larsen (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Edwin H. Feller (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WA-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the WA-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout predictions play a crucial role.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative agendas. A win for one party may bolster their influence on key issues.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, where multiple federal and state offices are contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
