What factors influence the odds for the WA-02 House race?

Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout predictions play a crucial role.

How does the WA-02 House race affect national politics?

The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative agendas. A win for one party may bolster their influence on key issues.

When will the WA-02 House election take place?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, where multiple federal and state offices are contested.

What does the WA-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WA-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Rick Larsen (D): 94.9¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket; Edwin H. Feller (R): 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do WA-02 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do WA-02 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Rick Larsen (D) at 95.6¢ implies about a 95.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.