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Live prediction market odds for WA-03 primary: 1st place. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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WA-03 primary: 1st place

2026-08-04

About This Market

WA-03 primary: 1st place: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

WA-03 primary: 1st place: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the WA-03 primary for the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party dynamics and candidate positioning ahead of the general election, making it a critical contest for local political power.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
BH
Brent Hennrich
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JB
John Braun
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
MG
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About John Braun

John Braun is the Minority Leader of the Washington State Senate, representing the 20th Legislative District. He previously chaired the Senate Ways & Means Committee, leading the development of the 2017-19 state operating budget. His extensive experience in state fiscal policy and leadership roles makes him a significant figure in Washington's political landscape.

About Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is the U.S. Representative for Washington's 3rd congressional district. She co-owned an auto repair and machine shop with her husband before entering Congress. She serves on the House Appropriations Committee and co-chairs the Blue Dog Coalition.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates3
Leader

Brent Hennrich

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: WA-03 primary: 1st place

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If John Braun finishes in 1st place in the 2026 WA-03 primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the WA-03 primary?

The WA-03 primary serves as a key indicator for party strength and candidate viability in the upcoming general election. Results can shape campaign strategies and influence voter engagement.

How do prediction markets reflect the WA-03 primary?

Prediction markets provide real-time insights into candidate performance and public sentiment as the primary date approaches. Odds fluctuate based on polling data, endorsements, and campaign developments.

What factors can impact the odds for candidates in the WA-03 primary?

Factors influencing the odds include candidate fundraising, media coverage, and voter turnout in early primaries. Additionally, shifts in public opinion and key endorsements can significantly alter market perceptions.

What does the WA-03 primary: 1st place prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WA-03 primary: 1st place odds?

The latest available prices are Brent Hennrich: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; John Braun: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Marie Gluesenkamp Perez: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

WA-03 Primary: MGP's 1st-Place Odds Fall 12 Points to 26%Markets price Gluesenkamp Perez as a 3-to-1 underdog to top Tuesday's ballot, even as an NPI poll shows her tied with Braun at 44-44.Jul 31, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

WA-03 primary: who will advance?WONPre-event: 98%

Prediction Market Track Record

WA-03 primary: who will advance?WONPre-event: 98%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

WA-03 primary: who will advance?

Resolved

2026-08-04

WONMarie Gluesenkamp Perez
Pre-event: 98%