Live prediction market odds for WA-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WA-04 House race, set for November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WA-04 House race, set for November 2026. This election will influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Amanda McKinney (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
John Duresky (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the WA-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also sway public perception and market odds.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for national trends in voter behavior leading up to the 2026 elections.
The election for the WA-04 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will be contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
