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Live prediction market odds for WA-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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WA-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Emily Randall (D)92¢1.09xPolymarket USTeresa Fox (R)6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Emily Randall (D) about a 93.8% chance. Teresa Fox (R) follows at 5.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.4 percentage points.

Traders give Emily Randall (D) about a 93.8% chance. Teresa Fox (R) follows at 5.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.4 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WA-06 House race set for November 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for party strategies and voter mobilization efforts.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
ER
Emily Randall (D)ARB
94%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.9%94¢98¢2¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
TF
Teresa Fox (R)
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi17.54x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.2%1¢6¢94¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Emily Randall (D)

Emily Randall is the U.S. Representative for Washington's 6th congressional district, serving since January 2025. She previously served in the Washington State Senate from 2019 to 2024, including as deputy majority leader from 2023 to 2024. Randall has a strong environmental record and is the first LGBTQ+ Latina elected to the U.S. House of Representatives.

About Teresa Fox (R)

Teresa Fox is a Republican candidate for Washington's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. She has a background in occupational safety, having served as an environmental health and safety director at Olympic College and as a regional safety and health coordinator with the Washington State Department of Labor and Industries. Fox's campaign focuses on public safety, economic development, and fiscal responsibility, aiming to represent the diverse communities of the 6th District.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.4%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Emily Randall (D)

93.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: WA-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for WA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the WA-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the WA-06 House race?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues. Polling data and endorsements can also sway public perception and betting behavior.

How do prediction markets work for elections like WA-06?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of each candidate winning.

What is at stake in the WA-06 House election?

The outcome of this election could impact legislative priorities and party control in Congress. A shift in power may lead to significant changes in policy direction at the federal level.

What does the WA-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WA-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Emily Randall (D): 95.9¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Teresa Fox (R): 4.2¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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