What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for What countries will Trump visit in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Compare all 20 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Portugal about a 19.5% chance. South Korea follows at 9.5%, Oman follows at 6.0%, and Germany follows at 5.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Pakistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs/videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or social media posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. For multiple locations with OR logic, visiting any single location satisfies the criterion. For AND logic, all locations must be visited.
Trump's travel decisions may be influenced by diplomatic relations, political alliances, and potential business interests. Additionally, upcoming elections could shape his itinerary as he seeks to bolster support.
Prediction markets analyze various data points, including expert opinions, geopolitical developments, and historical travel patterns. Traders place bets based on their assessments of the likelihood of specific countries being visited.
International relations can significantly impact Trump's travel plans, as visits to certain countries may be seen as endorsements or diplomatic gestures. The political climate and ongoing global issues will also shape the destinations he may choose.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Portugal: 19.5¢ on Polymarket; South Korea: 9.5¢ on Polymarket; Oman: 6.0¢ on Polymarket; Germany: 4.3¢ on Kalshi, 6.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
