Which party will win the House race for AZ-02?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for AZ-02?. Compare prices across .
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This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for AZ-02 ahead of the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for AZ-02 ahead of the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence the balance of power in Congress and could impact legislative agendas moving forward.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Eli Crane (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Jonathan Nez (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AZ-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AZ-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter turnout, candidate popularity, and campaign funding. Local issues and national trends may also sway voter preferences.
AZ-02 is considered a competitive district that could flip control in the House. Its outcome may reflect national sentiments and impact future elections.
Prediction markets provide insights into public sentiment and potential outcomes based on real-time data. They can serve as indicators of candidate viability and voter engagement.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
