Which party will win the House race for AZ-08?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for AZ-08?. Compare prices across .
Listed Updated Resolved
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for AZ-08 ahead of the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for AZ-08 ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties as they strategize their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Abe Hamadeh (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AZ-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the AZ-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Additionally, campaign funding and candidate visibility will play significant roles.
Winning AZ-08 could shift the balance of power in the House, affecting legislative agendas. Both parties will prioritize resources in this competitive district.
The election for the AZ-08 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which typically sees higher voter turnout.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
