Which party will win the House race for CA-28?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for CA-28?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for CA-28 ahead of the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for CA-28 ahead of the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party control in Congress and impact legislative priorities at the national level.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Judy Chu (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
April Verlato (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CA-28 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-28 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Additionally, campaign funding and candidate visibility can significantly impact voter sentiment.
This race is part of a larger effort to secure a majority in the House of Representatives. Control of the House can shape legislative agendas and influence national policies.
The election for CA-28 is scheduled for November 3, 2026. As the date approaches, market odds may fluctuate based on campaign developments and polling data.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
