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Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for CA-28?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Which party will win the House race for CA-28?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Judy Chu (D)95¢1.05xPolymarket USApril Verlato (R)3¢33.33xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Judy Chu (D) about a 94.1% chance. April Verlato (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Traders give Judy Chu (D) about a 94.1% chance. April Verlato (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for CA-28 ahead of the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party control in Congress and impact legislative priorities at the national level.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JC
Judy Chu (D)
94%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
91.4%91¢96¢4¢9¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.4%95¢98¢3¢5¢
AV
April Verlato (R)
2%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket2¢
Polymarket US33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.7%0¢5¢95¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.4%1¢2¢98¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Judy Chu (D)

Judy Chu is the U.S. Representative for California's 28th Congressional District. She was the first Chinese American woman elected to Congress in 2009. She has a longstanding record of public service, including roles on the Garvey School District Board of Education, the Monterey Park City Council, and the California State Assembly.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Judy Chu (D)

94.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Which party will win the House race for CA-28?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for CA-28 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the CA-28 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence the outcome of the CA-28 House race?

Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Additionally, campaign funding and candidate visibility can significantly impact voter sentiment.

How does the CA-28 House race fit into the broader electoral landscape?

This race is part of a larger effort to secure a majority in the House of Representatives. Control of the House can shape legislative agendas and influence national policies.

When will the CA-28 House race take place?

The election for CA-28 is scheduled for November 3, 2026. As the date approaches, market odds may fluctuate based on campaign developments and polling data.

What does the Which party will win the House race for CA-28 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Which party will win the House race for CA-28 odds?

The latest available prices are Judy Chu (D): 91.4¢ on Kalshi, 96.4¢ on Polymarket, 94.5¢ on Polymarket US; April Verlato (R): 2.7¢ on Kalshi, 1.4¢ on Polymarket, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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