Which party will win the House race for FL-01?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for FL-01?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for FL-01, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for FL-01, set for November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislation and governance at the federal level.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Jimmy Patronis (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Gay Valimont (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for FL-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the FL-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, voter turnout, and local issues. Polling data and national trends also play significant roles in shaping market expectations.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and information available about the candidates and their chances.
The FL-01 House race is important as it may determine control of the House of Representatives. Winning this seat could enhance a party's ability to push through its legislative agenda.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
