Which party will win the House race for MD-02?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for MD-02?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the House race for MD-02.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the House race for MD-02. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and governance strategies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Johnny Olszewski (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Dave Wallace (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MD-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MD-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, party affiliation, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, local issues and national political climate can sway public opinion.
The MD-02 House race is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, which often sees higher voter engagement.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change rapidly based on new information or events.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
