Which party will win the House race for NC-09?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for NC-09?. Compare prices across .
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This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the House race for NC-09.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the House race for NC-09. The results will influence the balance of power in Congress, making this a critical contest in the 2026 elections.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Richard Ojeda (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Richard Hudson (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NC-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-09 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Polling data and campaign strategies also play a significant role in shaping market expectations.
Markets are typically structured as binary outcomes, allowing traders to bet on which party will win. This format provides clear insights into market sentiment regarding the race.
This race is crucial as it could determine control of the House of Representatives. Shifts in party power can significantly impact legislative agendas and national policies.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
