Which party will win the House race for NY-07?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for NY-07?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-07, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-07, set for November 3, 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Claire Valdez (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Melvin Rivera (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter demographics, campaign funding, and national political trends. Local issues and candidate popularity also play significant roles.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. This shift may affect legislative agendas and the ability to pass key policies.
Results are expected to be reported on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certification of results may take several days due to mail-in ballots and counting processes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
