Which party will win the House race for NY-14?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for NY-14?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-14 ahead of the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-14 ahead of the 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, with local issues and candidate popularity playing crucial roles in shaping voter sentiment.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Diamant Hysenaj (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-14 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate appeal, local issues, and voter turnout. Additionally, national political trends and party support will also play a significant role.
The NY-14 House race is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election in the United States.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the race outcome. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public sentiment based on news or polling data.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
