Which party will win the House race for NY-18?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for NY-18?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-18, set for November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for NY-18, set for November 2026. This election will influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties as they strategize their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Pat Ryan (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Jacqueline Auringer (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NY-18 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NY-18 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter turnout, party campaign strategies, and local issues that resonate with constituents. Additionally, national trends and the political climate leading up to the election will play a significant role.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the race's outcome. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public opinion or new developments in the campaign.
Winning NY-18 could be pivotal for either party in maintaining or gaining control of the House of Representatives. The outcome may also impact future legislative agendas and party strategies leading into subsequent elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
