Which party will win the House race for OR-01?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for OR-01?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for OR-01 ahead of the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for OR-01 ahead of the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a key contest for both parties involved.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Suzanne Bonamici (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Barbara Kahl (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OR-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national political trends and party support can significantly impact the race.
Winning OR-01 could shift the balance of power in the House, affecting legislative priorities and party influence. Each seat gained or lost can alter the majority party's ability to pass legislation.
The election for the OR-01 House race is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is critical as it aligns with the general election, which will include various federal and state contests.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
