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Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for OR-01?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Which party will win the House race for OR-01?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Suzanne Bonamici (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USBarbara Kahl (R)4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Suzanne Bonamici (D) about a 97.2% chance. Barbara Kahl (R) follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Suzanne Bonamici (D) about a 97.2% chance. Barbara Kahl (R) follows at 2.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for OR-01 ahead of the 2026 elections. The outcome will influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a key contest for both parties involved.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SB
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
97%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.1%97¢100¢0¢4¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.5%95¢98¢2¢5¢
BK
Barbara Kahl (R)
3%
Kalshi4¢
—
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi28.57x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.8%2¢4¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.1%2¢5¢95¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Suzanne Bonamici (D)

Suzanne Bonamici is the U.S. Representative for Oregon's 1st congressional district, serving since 2012. She previously represented Oregon's 17th Senate district from 2008 to 2011. As a senior member of the House Committee on Education and Workforce, she chairs the Subcommittee on Early Childhood, Elementary, and Secondary Education.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Suzanne Bonamici (D)

97.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Which party will win the House race for OR-01?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the OR-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the OR-01 House race?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national political trends and party support can significantly impact the race.

How does the OR-01 House race affect congressional dynamics?

Winning OR-01 could shift the balance of power in the House, affecting legislative priorities and party influence. Each seat gained or lost can alter the majority party's ability to pass legislation.

When is the election for the OR-01 House race?

The election for the OR-01 House race is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is critical as it aligns with the general election, which will include various federal and state contests.

What does the Which party will win the House race for OR-01 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Which party will win the House race for OR-01 odds?

The latest available prices are Suzanne Bonamici (D): 98.1¢ on Kalshi, 96.5¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; Barbara Kahl (R): 2.8¢ on Kalshi, 3.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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