Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for PA-10?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Which party will win the House race for PA-10?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Janelle Stelson (D)80¢1.25xPolymarket USScott Perry (R)21¢4.76xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Janelle Stelson (D) about a 80.5% chance. Scott Perry (R) follows at 19.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.0 percentage points.

Traders give Janelle Stelson (D) about a 80.5% chance. Scott Perry (R) follows at 19.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the House race for PA-10 ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and party strategies moving forward.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
JS
Janelle Stelson (D)ARB
81%
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket US80¢
Polymarket82¢
PredictIt88¢
Polymarket US1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
81.0%79¢81¢19¢21¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
79.5%79¢80¢20¢21¢
PolymarketPolymarket
81.0%80¢82¢18¢20¢
PredictItPredictIt
87.0%86¢88¢12¢14¢
SP
Scott Perry (R)
20%
Kalshi21¢
Polymarket US21¢
Polymarket21¢
PredictIt36¢
Kalshi4.76x21¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%18¢21¢79¢82¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
20.0%20¢21¢79¢80¢
PolymarketPolymarket
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
PredictItPredictIt
8.0%8¢36¢64¢92¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Candidate Spotlight

About Janelle Stelson (D)

Janelle Stelson is a Democratic candidate for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. She previously served as an Emmy Award-winning news anchor at WGAL-TV in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, for 26 years. Stelson is recognized for her extensive experience in broadcast journalism and her commitment to addressing issues such as gun violence and healthcare reform.

About Scott Perry (R)

Scott Perry is the U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, serving since 2013. He retired as a brigadier general in the Pennsylvania Army National Guard after nearly 40 years of service. Perry has chaired the House Freedom Caucus and currently serves on the House Intelligence Committee.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread12.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Janelle Stelson (D)

80.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Which party will win the House race for PA-10?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for PA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-10 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds in the PA-10 House race?

Key factors include candidate popularity, local issues, and national political trends. Polling data and campaign funding also play significant roles in shaping market perceptions.

How does the outcome of PA-10 affect the overall House composition?

Winning PA-10 could shift the majority in the House, affecting legislative agendas. Each seat is critical, especially in a closely contested Congress.

What historical trends are relevant to the PA-10 race?

Historical voting patterns in PA-10, including past election results and demographic shifts, provide context for current predictions. Understanding these trends helps analysts gauge potential outcomes.

What does the Which party will win the House race for PA-10 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Which party will win the House race for PA-10 odds?

The latest available prices are Janelle Stelson (D): 81.0¢ on Kalshi, 81.0¢ on Polymarket, 87.0¢ on PredictIt, 79.5¢ on Polymarket US; Scott Perry (R): 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 20.0¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on PredictIt, 20.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Iowa Senate Election Winner

View

Blue wave in 2026?

View

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

View

TN-09 House Election Winner

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Stelson's PA-10 Odds Drop 12 Points as First Fall Poll Shows Perry +3Markets cut Stelson from 86% to 74% in three days after a Franklin & Marshall poll put Perry ahead. Call the Map still gives her 68%.Sep 26, 2026Stelson Leads Perry by 3 Points, But Her Market Odds Fell 8 PointsA new Franklin & Marshall poll puts Stelson up 3 points in PA-10, yet traders cut her win probability from 86% to 78% in three days.Sep 24, 2026Perry's PA-10 Odds Fall 13 Points in 3 Days as Stelson Rematch TightensBettors now price Republicans at 18% in PA-10, down from 30% in three days. Perry won the district by roughly 5,000 votes in 2024 with Trump on the ballot.Sep 15, 2026Perry Falls to 18% in PA-10 as Stelson Rematch Takes ShapeRepublican odds fell 9 points in three days. Kalshi prices the GOP at 25%; PredictIt sits at 10%, with Stelson's prior campaign infrastructure cited as a factor.Sep 13, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

PA-10 Democratic nominee?WONPre-event: 95%

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will vote Yes to releasing Epstein files?WONPre-event: 0%Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

PA-10 Democratic nominee?

Resolved

2026-05-19

WONJanelle Stelson (D)
Pre-event: 95%

Who will vote Yes to releasing Epstein files?

Resolved
WONScott Perry (R)
Pre-event: 0%

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?

Resolved

2026-12-31

LOSTScott Perry (R)
Pre-event: 0%