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Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for PA-14?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Which party will win the House race for PA-14?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Guy Reschenthaler (R)94¢1.06xPolymarket USAlan Bradstock (D)7¢14.29xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Guy Reschenthaler (R) about a 93.7% chance. Alan Bradstock (D) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Guy Reschenthaler (R) about a 93.7% chance. Alan Bradstock (D) follows at 5.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-14 ahead of the 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect broader national trends in voter sentiment and party support.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
GR
Guy Reschenthaler (R)
94%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.0%93¢96¢4¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
AB
Alan Bradstock (D)
6%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi14.49x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%4¢7¢93¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Guy Reschenthaler (R)

Guy Reschenthaler is the U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District and serves as the House Republican Chief Deputy Whip. He previously represented the 37th district in the Pennsylvania State Senate from 2015 to 2019. His leadership role in the House Republican Conference and his tenure in the Pennsylvania State Senate underscore his significant influence in Pennsylvania politics.

About Alan Bradstock (D)

Alan Bradstock is a retired FBI special agent and U.S. Army veteran. He served as a counterterrorism supervisor and Deputy Legal Attaché in Ottawa. His extensive experience in federal law enforcement and military service makes him a notable candidate in the PA-14 House race.

Smart Trade Router

$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Guy Reschenthaler (R)

93.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Which party will win the House race for PA-14?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for PA-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-14 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the PA-14 House race?

Key factors include local polling data, candidate visibility, and national party support. Additionally, demographic shifts and voter turnout trends can significantly impact the race.

How often do the odds change for the PA-14 race?

Odds can change frequently as new information emerges, such as campaign events or shifts in public opinion. Major news events or debates can also lead to rapid adjustments.

What is the significance of the PA-14 House race?

The PA-14 race is significant as it may determine control of the House of Representatives. The outcome can reflect broader political trends and influence future legislative agendas.

What does the Which party will win the House race for PA-14 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Which party will win the House race for PA-14 odds?

The latest available prices are Guy Reschenthaler (R): 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Alan Bradstock (D): 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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