Which party will win the House race for PA-14?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for PA-14?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-14 ahead of the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-14 ahead of the 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect broader national trends in voter sentiment and party support.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Guy Reschenthaler (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Alan Bradstock (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for PA-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-14 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include local polling data, candidate visibility, and national party support. Additionally, demographic shifts and voter turnout trends can significantly impact the race.
Odds can change frequently as new information emerges, such as campaign events or shifts in public opinion. Major news events or debates can also lead to rapid adjustments.
The PA-14 race is significant as it may determine control of the House of Representatives. The outcome can reflect broader political trends and influence future legislative agendas.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
