About This Market
Traders give Mike Kelly (R) about a 91.5% chance. Justin Wagner (D) follows at 7.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.
Traders give Mike Kelly (R) about a 91.5% chance. Justin Wagner (D) follows at 7.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-16, set for November 3, 2026. This election will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, as both parties vie for control in a competitive district.



