Which party will win the House race for PA-16?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for PA-16?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-16, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for PA-16, set for November 3, 2026. This election will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, as both parties vie for control in a competitive district.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mike Kelly (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Justin Wagner (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for PA-16 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the PA-16 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Polling data and candidate visibility also play significant roles in shaping market perceptions.
The outcome of this race could shift the majority in the House of Representatives. A win for either party may affect legislative priorities and the effectiveness of governance.
Past elections in PA-16 have shown fluctuating party control, reflecting broader national trends. Understanding voter turnout and party loyalty in the district can provide insights into future outcomes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
