Which party will win the House race for TX-29?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for TX-29?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for TX-29.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for TX-29. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, with implications for national policy and local governance.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sylvia Garcia (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Martha Fierro (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-29 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-29 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include voter demographics, historical voting patterns, and campaign funding. Additionally, local issues and candidate popularity can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Winning TX-29 could shift the majority in the House, impacting legislative priorities and party agendas. It also serves as a bellwether for broader electoral trends in the state.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which typically sees higher voter turnout.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
