Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for TX-29?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Which party will win the House race for TX-29?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Sylvia Garcia (D)98¢1.02xKalshiMartha Fierro (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Sylvia Garcia (D) about a 97.2% chance. Martha Fierro (R) follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Traders give Sylvia Garcia (D) about a 97.2% chance. Martha Fierro (R) follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.2 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for TX-29. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, with implications for national policy and local governance.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SG
Sylvia Garcia (D)
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US99¢
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.3%95¢98¢2¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.5%98¢99¢1¢2¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.8%95¢98¢2¢5¢
MF
Martha Fierro (R)
3%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.2%1¢4¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%1¢5¢96¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Sylvia Garcia (D)

Sylvia R. Garcia is the U.S. Representative for Texas's 29th Congressional District, serving since January 3, 2019. She previously served as a Texas State Senator from 2013 to 2018. Garcia is a member of the Democratic Party and has been re-elected to represent her district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

About Martha Fierro (R)

Martha Fierro is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Texas's 29th congressional district. She immigrated from Matamoros, Mexico, earned a psychology degree from the University of Houston, and worked as a nurse at the Texas Medical Center in Houston. Fierro has run for Texas legislature seats multiple times since 2018 and currently serves as Houston director for the Hispanic Action Network, an organization that engages churches and pastors in civic life.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Sylvia Garcia (D)

97.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Which party will win the House race for TX-29?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for TX-29 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-29 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the TX-29 House race?

Key factors include voter demographics, historical voting patterns, and campaign funding. Additionally, local issues and candidate popularity can sway public opinion leading up to the election.

How does the outcome of the TX-29 race affect national politics?

Winning TX-29 could shift the majority in the House, impacting legislative priorities and party agendas. It also serves as a bellwether for broader electoral trends in the state.

When is the election for the TX-29 House race?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which typically sees higher voter turnout.

What does the Which party will win the House race for TX-29 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Which party will win the House race for TX-29 odds?

The latest available prices are Sylvia Garcia (D): 96.3¢ on Kalshi, 96.8¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Martha Fierro (R): 3.2¢ on Kalshi, 3.0¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

View

Alaska Governor Election Winner

View

Blue tsunami in 2026?

View

Blue wave in 2026?

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $131K lifetime bet $1.5K on No at 96¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $131K lifetime bet $641 on No at 97¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?Trade on Polymarket US →