About This Market
Traders give Michael Baumgartner (R) about a 82.2% chance. Carmela Conroy (D) follows at 17.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Traders give Michael Baumgartner (R) about a 82.2% chance. Carmela Conroy (D) follows at 17.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for WA-05, set for November 3, 2026. This contest will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, influenced by local issues and national political trends leading up to the election.
