Which party will win the House race for WA-05?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for WA-05?. Compare prices across .
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This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for WA-05, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for WA-05, set for November 3, 2026. This contest will be pivotal in determining the balance of power in Congress, influenced by local issues and national political trends leading up to the election.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Michael Baumgartner (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Carmela Conroy (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the WA-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout predictions. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway public opinion.
The outcome could affect the overall control of the House of Representatives. A shift in party control may influence legislative agendas and policy decisions.
The election for WA-05 is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
