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Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

2026-05-01

About This Market

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee for CO-08 ahead of the 2026 election. This contest is pivotal as it could influence party dynamics and strategies in a crucial battleground state.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
AB
Amie Baca-Oehlert
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
DY
Dave Young
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JS
John Szemler
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
MR
Manny Rutinel
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.9%0¢100¢0¢100¢
SB
Shannon Bird
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Dave Young

Dave Young is the current Treasurer of Colorado, overseeing the state's $90 billion in assets. He previously served four terms in the Colorado House of Representatives, including as Chair of the House Appropriations Committee. His extensive public service and leadership in state finance make him a significant figure in Colorado's political landscape.

About John Szemler

John Szemler is a process improvement consultant specializing in implementing Microsoft Dynamics 365. He holds a BA in Political Science from Loyola University of Chicago and an MBA from the University of San Diego. Szemler is running as a Democratic candidate for Colorado's 8th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections.

About Manny Rutinel

Manny Rutinel is a Democratic state representative for Colorado's 32nd district. He previously worked as an environmental attorney for Earthjustice's Sustainable Food and Farming Program. He is running for the Democratic nomination in Colorado's 8th Congressional District.

About Shannon Bird

Shannon Bird is a Democratic candidate for Colorado's 8th Congressional District in the 2026 election. She served as a state representative from 2019 to 2026, including a term on the Joint Budget Committee. Her legislative experience and recent resignation to focus on her congressional campaign make her a key contender in the Democratic primary.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates6
Leader

Amie Baca-Oehlert

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Shannon Bird wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 CO-8 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in CO-08?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, local issues and voter sentiment can sway predictions.

Why is the CO-08 Democratic nomination important?

Winning the Democratic nomination for CO-08 is crucial for gaining a foothold in a competitive district. The outcome may affect broader electoral strategies in the state.

How do prediction markets work for this nomination?

Prediction markets aggregate collective insights on potential outcomes, allowing participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations. Prices reflect the perceived likelihood of each candidate winning the nomination.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Amie Baca-Oehlert: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Dave Young: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; John Szemler: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Manny Rutinel: 99.9¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

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Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Rutinel Favored at 78% to Win CO-08 Democratic PrimaryNRCC opposition research triggered a 10pp jump in Rutinel's nomination odds; Kalshi prices him at 80%, Polymarket at 76%.Mar 20, 2026