Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08? | Historical Odds

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee for CO-08 ahead of the 2026 election.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee for CO-08 ahead of the 2026 election. This contest is pivotal as it could influence party dynamics and strategies in a crucial battleground state.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Final Closing Odds

Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.

Question	Result
Amie Baca-Oehlert	No result
Candidate A	No result
Candidate B	No result
Candidate C	No result
Candidate D	No result
Candidate E	No result
Candidate F	No result
Candidate G	No result
Candidate H	No result

Candidate Spotlight

About Dave Young

Dave Young is the current Treasurer of Colorado, overseeing the state's $90 billion in assets. He previously served four terms in the Colorado House of Representatives, including as Chair of the House Appropriations Committee. His extensive public service and leadership in state finance make him a significant figure in Colorado's political landscape.

About John Szemler

John Szemler is a process improvement consultant specializing in implementing Microsoft Dynamics 365. He holds a BA in Political Science from Loyola University of Chicago and an MBA from the University of San Diego. Szemler is running as a Democratic candidate for Colorado's 8th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections.

About Manny Rutinel

Manny Rutinel is a Democratic state representative for Colorado's 32nd district. He previously worked as an environmental attorney for Earthjustice's Sustainable Food and Farming Program. He is running for the Democratic nomination in Colorado's 8th Congressional District.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Shannon Bird wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 CO-8 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles

Democratic Party Republican Party

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in CO-08?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, local issues and voter sentiment can sway predictions.

Why is the CO-08 Democratic nomination important?

Winning the Democratic nomination for CO-08 is crucial for gaining a foothold in a competitive district. The outcome may affect broader electoral strategies in the state.

How do prediction markets work for this nomination?

Prediction markets aggregate collective insights on potential outcomes, allowing participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations. Prices reflect the perceived likelihood of each candidate winning the nomination.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for CO-08: what were the odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.