Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Dan Koh was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026. This race is significant as it will influence the party's strategy and representation in Congress, especially in a critical election year.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dan KohWINNER | 100% | 100% |
Beth Andres-Beck | — | 0% |
Dominick Pangallo | 1% | 0% |
John Beccia | — | 0% |
Kevin Larivee | — | 0% |
Seth Moulton | 0% | 0% |
Tram Nguyen | — | 0% |
Beth Andres-Beck | 0% | — |
Jamie Belsito | 0% | — |
John Beccia | 0% | — |
Rick Jakious | 0% | — |
Tram Nguyen | 0% | — |
Dan Koh
99.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dan Koh wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-6 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Odds can be affected by candidate endorsements, fundraising totals, and polling data as the election approaches. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and party dynamics play a crucial role.
Massachusetts uses a closed primary system, meaning only registered party members can vote in their party's primary. Candidates typically campaign vigorously to secure endorsements and mobilize their voter base.
MA-06 is a competitive district that can impact the balance of power in Congress. Winning this seat is vital for the Democratic Party to maintain or expand its influence in the House.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Dan Koh: 99.9¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Beth Andres-Beck: 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Dominick Pangallo: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; John Beccia: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
