Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026? |…

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026?

About This Market

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026. This race is significant as it will influence the party's strategy and representation in Congress, especially in a critical election year.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Final Closing Odds

1 platform

Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.

Question	Result
Dan Koh	Yes
Beth Andres-Beck	No result
Candidate J	No result
Candidate K	No result
Candidate L	No result
Candidate M	No result
Candidate N	No result
Candidate O	No result
Diann Slavit Baylis	No result

Candidate Spotlight

About Dan Koh

Dan Koh is a Democratic candidate for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election. He previously served as chief of staff to Boston Mayor Marty Walsh and in senior roles in the Biden administration, including chief of staff at the U.S. Department of Labor. His extensive political experience and strong grassroots support make him a prominent contender in the race.

About Rick Jakious

Rick Jakious is a candidate for the Democratic nomination in Massachusetts's 6th Congressional District. He served as district director and chief of staff for U.S. Representative Seth Moulton for over a decade. His extensive experience in the district and in Washington, D.C., positions him as a knowledgeable contender for the congressional seat.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Dan Koh wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-6 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles

Democratic Party Republican Party

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in MA-06?

Odds can be affected by candidate endorsements, fundraising totals, and polling data as the election approaches. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and party dynamics play a crucial role.

How does the Democratic primary process work in Massachusetts?

Massachusetts uses a closed primary system, meaning only registered party members can vote in their party's primary. Candidates typically campaign vigorously to secure endorsements and mobilize their voter base.

What is the significance of the MA-06 district in elections?

MA-06 is a competitive district that can impact the balance of power in Congress. Winning this seat is vital for the Democratic Party to maintain or expand its influence in the House.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026: what were the odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.