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Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?. Compare prices across .

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?

2026-05-01

About This Market

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee in New York's 12th congressional district.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee in New York's 12th congressional district. This contest is pivotal as it could influence party dynamics and legislative priorities in a key urban area leading up to the 2026 elections.

Price History

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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction HuntPrediction.com aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria - check each platform's rules before trading.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in NY-12?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and endorsements. Polling data and voter sentiment also play crucial roles in shaping market predictions.

When is the primary election for NY-12?

The primary election for New York's 12th congressional district is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This date is critical as it determines the Democratic nominee for the general election.

How does the Democratic nominee for NY-12 affect national politics?

The nominee's position can impact legislative agendas and party strategies at the national level. A strong candidate may also influence voter turnout and engagement in the general election.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12: what are the current odds?

No current prices are available on this page.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Lasher Leads NY-12 at 54% Despite Polling Third in MarchMarkets price Lasher 40 points above his 14% March poll standing; Bloomberg endorsed him five weeks before Hochul's April 13 backing.Apr 20, 2026Alex Bores Hits 36% to Win NY-12 Dem Primary After $2.3M AI PAC AssaultAI industry PAC spent $2.3M attacking Bores, who polls at 11% but holds a $2.2M war chest and DC 37 backing. Markets jumped 11pp in three days.Apr 9, 2026Bores Hits 32% to Win NY-12 Dem Primary as $1.8M AI PAC BackfiresAlex Bores jumped from 22% to 32% in three days on Kalshi and Polymarket despite polling at 11%, aided by Carolyn Maloney's endorsement and $2.2M raised.Mar 26, 2026