Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Gadi Eizenkot about a 66.3% chance. Benjamin Netanyahu follows at 19.4%, Naftali Bennett follows at 5.0%, and Amir Ohana follows at 2.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictItKalshiPolymarketPredictItBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yair Lapid, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
Odds are influenced by party popularity, polling data, and public sentiment. Additionally, recent political events and coalition dynamics play a significant role.
Odds can fluctuate frequently, especially after major political announcements or events such as elections and debates. Real-time updates reflect the latest shifts in public opinion and political developments.
The next Prime Minister will have a profound impact on Israel's governance, security policies, and international relations. Their leadership will also influence the socio-economic landscape of the country.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Gadi Eizenkot: 68.5¢ on Kalshi, 64.0¢ on Polymarket, 79.0¢ on PredictIt; Benjamin Netanyahu: 19.4¢ on Polymarket, 20.5¢ on PredictIt; Naftali Bennett: 6.7¢ on Kalshi, 3.4¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on PredictIt; Amir Ohana: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
Smart money is betting against Benjamin Netanyahu
Buy No at 80¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Smart money is betting against Benjamin Netanyahu
Buy No at 80¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Trader up $189K lifetime sold $1.4K of No at 80¢
4h agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $2.5M lifetime bought $2K of No at 96¢
11h agoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $13.3K lifetime sold $1.2K of Yes at 63¢
21h agoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $112K lifetime sold $2.2K of No at 77¢
22h agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $1.1M lifetime bought $5.5K of No at 77¢
22h agoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Trade on Kalshi 
