Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
Listed Updated
Traders give Hakeem Jeffries about a 94.6% chance. Katherine Clark follows at 3.5%, Ro Khanna follows at 2.3%, and Joe Neguse follows at 1.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PredictItKalshiPredictItOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Factors include party control of the House, internal party support, and potential challenges from other members. Leadership elections can also be affected by current political events and public opinion.
The Speaker is elected by a majority vote of the members of the House of Representatives. This election occurs at the beginning of each new Congress or when a vacancy arises.
If no candidate receives a majority vote, multiple rounds of voting may occur until a Speaker is elected. This situation can lead to negotiations and compromises among party members.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Hakeem Jeffries: 94.2¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on PredictIt; Katherine Clark: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.0¢ on PredictIt; Ro Khanna: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.0¢ on PredictIt; Joe Neguse: 1.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
