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Traders give Ted Cruz about a 4.7% chance. Michael Park follows at 2.6%, Mike Lee follows at 2.4%, and Emil Bove follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Compare all 41 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give Ted Cruz about a 4.7% chance. Michael Park follows at 2.6%, Mike Lee follows at 2.4%, and Emil Bove follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Amul Thapar is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The selection is influenced by political dynamics, the current composition of the Senate, and the sitting president's priorities. Public opinion and legal qualifications also play a critical role in the nomination process.
The president nominates a candidate, who must then be confirmed by the Senate. This process includes hearings, debates, and a final vote in the Senate.
The new justice will shape the Court's decisions on pivotal issues such as civil rights, healthcare, and environmental regulations. Their influence can affect American law for decades.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Ted Cruz: 4.7¢ on Kalshi; Michael Park: 2.6¢ on Kalshi; Mike Lee: 2.4¢ on Kalshi; Emil Bove: 2.3¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.