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Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

2026-05-01

About This Market

Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee for FL-19. This election is pivotal as it could influence party dynamics and voter turnout in the upcoming general election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
BR
Bob Rommel
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢100¢0¢100¢
CL
Catalina Lauf
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JO
Jim Oberweis
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
MC
Madison Cawthorn
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
SR
Spencer Roach
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf is the founder and executive director of Defense of Freedom PAC. She previously served as a special advisor in the U.S. Department of Commerce during the Trump Administration. She is relevant to this prediction market as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination in Florida's 19th Congressional District.

About Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis is a Republican candidate for Florida's 19th Congressional District in the 2026 election. He served as a member of the Illinois State Senate from 2013 to 2021. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he is actively campaigning for the Republican nomination in FL-19.

About Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn is a Republican politician running for Florida's 19th Congressional District in the 2026 elections. He previously served as the U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 11th district from 2021 to 2023. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he is a declared candidate in the Republican primary for FL-19.

About Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach is a former member of the Florida House of Representatives, having served District 76 from 2018 to 2024. Prior to his legislative career, he served as a judge advocate in the U.S. Coast Guard from 1996 to 2016. His decision not to seek re-election in 2024 has opened the field for new candidates in the upcoming FL-19 Republican primary.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclernc.orgConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates5
Leader

Bob Rommel

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Madison Cawthorn wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-19 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclernc.orgConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Republican nominee in FL-19?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and endorsements. Polling data and voter sentiment also play critical roles in shaping market expectations.

How does the Republican nomination process work in Florida?

Florida's Republican primary typically involves a winner-takes-all approach, where the candidate with the most votes secures all delegates. This system heightens competition among candidates as they vie for maximum voter support.

What is the significance of the FL-19 seat in the broader election context?

FL-19 is considered a key district that could sway control in the House of Representatives. Winning this seat may provide the Republican Party with a strategic advantage in legislative initiatives.

Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-19: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Bob Rommel: 0.5¢ on Kalshi; Catalina Lauf: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Jim Oberweis: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Madison Cawthorn: 0.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Lauf Climbs to 45% in FL-19 Market as Rivals Clear the FieldA 9-point surge follows Sheriff Marceno's exit, not campaign momentum. Lauf leads a primary of transplant candidates with no Florida roots.Mar 18, 2026