Live prediction market odds for Who will the next Pope be?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Live prediction market odds for Who will the next Pope be?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Traders give Luis Antonio Tagle about a 6.2% chance. Pietro Parolin follows at 4.2%, Pierbattista Pizzaballa follows at 3.8%, and Matteo Zuppi follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiLuis Antonio Tagle
6.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Pierbattista Pizzaballa becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Luis Antonio Tagle: 6.2¢ on Kalshi; Pietro Parolin: 4.2¢ on Kalshi; Pierbattista Pizzaballa: 3.8¢ on Kalshi; Matteo Zuppi: 2.4¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, Luis Antonio Tagle at 6.2¢ implies about a 6.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
