What is the resolution date for the WI-03 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 5, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the WI-03 House winner?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigning, voter turnout projections, and any significant developments leading up to the election.

Which platforms are tracking the WI-03 House winner?

The event is being tracked on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt.

What does the WI-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WI-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Rebecca Cooke (D): 73.0¢ on Kalshi, 72.5¢ on Polymarket, 76.0¢ on PredictIt, 72.0¢ on Polymarket US; Derrick Van Orden (R): 29.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.5¢ on Polymarket, 16.0¢ on PredictIt, 31.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do WI-03 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do WI-03 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Rebecca Cooke (D) at 72.5¢ implies about a 72.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.