What is the resolution date for the WI-04 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 4, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the WI-04 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the WI-04 House election winner.

What factors influence the odds for the WI-04 House winner?

Odds are influenced by campaign developments, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

What does the WI-04 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WI-04 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Gwen Moore (D): 97.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.8¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tim Rogers (R): 1.8¢ on Kalshi, 1.4¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do WI-04 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do WI-04 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Gwen Moore (D) at 97.3¢ implies about a 97.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.