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Live prediction market odds for WI-05 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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WI-05 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Scott Fitzgerald (R)94¢1.06xPolymarket USAndrew Beck (D)4¢25.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Scott Fitzgerald (R) about a 94.9% chance. Andrew Beck (D) follows at 3.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.

Traders give Scott Fitzgerald (R) about a 94.9% chance. Andrew Beck (D) follows at 3.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WI-05 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence party control in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SF
Scott Fitzgerald (R)ARB
95%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.0%93¢97¢3¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.3%96¢97¢3¢4¢
AB
Andrew Beck (D)
4%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US4¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.3%3¢6¢94¢97¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.0%4¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Scott Fitzgerald (R)

Scott Fitzgerald is the current U.S. Representative for Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, serving since January 3, 2021. Prior to his congressional tenure, he served 26 years in the Wisconsin State Senate, including as Majority Leader. His extensive legislative experience and leadership roles in the state senate underscore his qualifications for this position.

About Andrew Beck (D)

Andrew Beck is a Democratic candidate for Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. He has held management roles at Hilton Hotels, GE Healthcare, and Hologic. Beck's campaign focuses on protecting democracy, lowering healthcare costs, and expanding affordable housing.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
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Stats
Spread2.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Scott Fitzgerald (R)

94.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: WI-05 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for WI-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the WI-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the WI-05 House winner?

Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also significantly impact market perceptions.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment in elections?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who wager on outcomes, often reflecting collective sentiment. As new information emerges, such as debates and polling results, odds can fluctuate accordingly.

Why is the WI-05 House race considered important?

The outcome of this race could affect the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative agendas. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for broader political trends ahead of the 2026 elections.

What does the WI-05 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WI-05 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Scott Fitzgerald (R): 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Andrew Beck (D): 4.3¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds