About This Market
Traders give Micah Lasher (D) about a 96.6% chance. Caroline Shinkle (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.
Traders give Micah Lasher (D) about a 96.6% chance. Caroline Shinkle (R) follows at 2.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.8 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-12 House Election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating due to candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.



