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Live prediction market odds for TN-02 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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TN-02 House Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Tim Burchett (R)92¢1.09xPolymarket USMichaela Barnett (D)7¢14.29xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Tim Burchett (R) about a 93.3% chance. Michaela Barnett (D) follows at 6.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Traders give Tim Burchett (R) about a 93.3% chance. Michaela Barnett (D) follows at 6.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TN-02 House Election Winner. This market resolves based on the official results of the election held on November 3, 2026, and odds fluctuate with candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TB
Tim Burchett (R)ARB
93%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.0%90¢96¢4¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
MB
Michaela Barnett (D)
6%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US7¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket US14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%4¢9¢91¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Tim Burchett (R)

Tim Burchett is the current U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, serving since January 2019. He previously served as the Mayor of Knoxville from 2011 to 2018. His extensive experience in local and federal government positions him as a key figure in Tennessee's political landscape.

About Michaela Barnett (D)

Michaela Barnett is a Democratic candidate for Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. She holds a Ph.D. in Civil Engineering from the University of Virginia and founded KnoxFill, a zero-waste refill store in Knoxville. Barnett previously served as a Congressional science policy fellow and was the executive director of Blue Tennessee.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Tim Burchett (R)

93.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TN-02 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for TN-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TN-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the TN-02 House Election Winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the TN-02 House Election Winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this election market.

What factors influence the odds in the TN-02 House Election Winner market?

Odds are influenced by candidate campaigning, voter sentiment, and polling data leading up to the election.

What does the TN-02 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TN-02 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Tim Burchett (R): 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Michaela Barnett (D): 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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